Friday, September 19, 2014

DRAFTKINGS STRATEGY WEEK 3 NFL 2014

I will  put a (FP) next to one player in each position for my Favorite pick aka FLIPS PICK based on their value & match-up.
Abbreviations: Cost Per Point(CPP) Flips Pick (FP) Guaranteed prize pool (GPP)
Now lets get it!
QB: Best Plays:
Drew Brees ($8,900)- The Vikings secondary is not good and really would have gotten exposed if the Pats had to put points up.  Brees is 0-2 going home, I would be shocked if he does not go for 300+ yards this Sunday.  
Matthew Stafford (FP) ($8,800)- Just like Brees, Stafford is much more comfortable at home.  This game with the Packers should be high scoring.  Another plus is that Bush + Bell get a lot of their work in the screen game padding Stafford's passing yards.  FYI I love Rodgers this week too but since he cost $400 more, I would take Stafford as they should have similar performances.
Russel Wilson ($6,800)- Russ is averaging 18.2 FPPG which is solid so far for his price point.  This wont be a repeat of the championship so the Seahawks will have to throw the ball some because Denver should put points up.  With a loss last week coming back to the 12th man I think Russ has a huge day taking control of the game.
QB: Worst Plays:
Andrew Luck ($9,200)- I have a feeling that the Colts will run run run to victory this week against the desperate Jaguars.  Luck should have 200+ and at least one TD pass but for $9,200 thats not enough.  Stick with Rodgers, Brees, or Stafford this week.
RB: Best Plays
DeMarco Murray  ($7,900)- Murray has been the workhorse this season in a run 1st Cowboy offense.  The Rams just let Bobby Rainey have big game and I see a better offense in Dallas.
Giovani Bernard ($7,300)- Giovani went off last week and could have had two TD's if Jeremy Hill didn't get that goal line touch.  He carried the ball 27 times and had 5 catches.  They will probaly run the ball all over the Titans who just let Murray have a field day.
Andre Ellington (FP) ($5,400)- Jonathan Dwyer just was arrested for domestic violence so hes out of here.  Ellington will have to strap on his big boy pants because he will get 20+ carries this week instead of 15 with dwyer stealing about 8 a game. He is a speedster and has big play potential anytime he touches the ball.
Rashad Jennings ($5,200)- You can guarantee Jennings will get a heavy amount of carries and looks in the passing game.  He is the Giants workhorse and has played well despite his team not helping out to much.
Pierre Thomas ($4,900) + Khiry Robinson ($3,900)- With Mark Ingram out for at least a month both Thomas and Robinson will have a increased workload.  Look for big games from these guys going against a Vikings team who let the Pats run all over them.  Robinson should get the goal line carries, also if the Saints get up big Robinson should be the one running the game out.
Donald Brown ($3,500)- Surprise surprise Ryan Matthews got injured again sadly.  Brown will be the man in charge of taking the early down carries and goal line touches.  He had 3 catches last week too so he is a capable receiving threat also.
RB: Worst Plays
C.J. Spiller ($6,200)- Only 14.3 and 13.9 points so far this season.  There are much better options for this price, especially since he splits carries with Fred Jackson.
Shane Vereen  ($5,100) + Steven Ridley ($4,700)- Unless you handcuff these guys which I dont recommend I would stay away from them here.  It seems Vereen will play more when the game is close and Ridley when they are comfortably leading. With Belichick at the reigns your not sure whats going to happen.  Just better to stay away until there is a clear #1 back...if that ever happens.
WR: Best Plays
Calvin Johnson (FP) ($8,900)- Megatron at home against a Packers defense who has let up a lot of points this year sounds good to me.  He will bounce back big after getting contained by the Panthers last week.
Jordy Nelson ($8,400)- Cam Newton threw for a lot of yards last week against the Lions defense and the Packers have more firepower then the Panthers.  Just because Jordy had a huge game doesn't mean he wont have another one.
Antonio Brown ($7,100)- Maybe the fastest WR in the game right now seems to be Big Ben's go too, like he should be.  If he didn't get taken out last week early against the Ravens I think that game would have been a lot different.  The Steelers will most likely have to outscore Carolina by throwing the ball to win because their defense is going allow points.
Demaryius Thomas ($6,600)- So cheap but yet so much to be scared of to play him.  Playing away against Seattle is enough to be scared of, plus if Wes plays how will that effect the offense.  You have a high ceiling with a very low floor here.
Cordarrelle Patterson ($6,100)- Hit or miss at its best, Cordarrelle Patterson.  Look if this guy gets in the open field he is gone no doubt.  If you take Patterson make sure you don't pick the Saints defense in GPP contests.
Marques Colston ($5,400)- After being shadowed by Joe Haden last week Brees should look to tear up that Vikings secondary.  Just hope that its Colston getting the looks, a cheap buy this week with huge upside.
Percey Harvin ($5,400)- After not being involved much last week against the Chargers Harvin went real cheap to $5,400.  Seattle will plan to involve him a bunch this game because Harvin was the X factor in week 1.
Victor Cruz ($5,200)- Cruz is bound to have a good game soon enough right??? Still the most targeted receiver for the Giants should look to have a 100+ yard game this Sunday.
Golden Tate ($5,000)- Tate doesn't have a TD yet this season but has had good production with a solid amount of targets.  For $5,000 I don't think you can pass up on him this week in what should be a high scoring game against the Packers.
WR: Worst Plays
A.J. Green ($6,900)- First off I am worried that he could re-injure himself.  Secondly if the Bengals get an early lead on the Titans they will just rest Green the rest of the game.  Your playing with fire this week if you go with Green.
James Jones ($5,700)- Two non game changing TD's in the end of both games Jones is a high price for what hes worth.  Against the Pats Defense I cant see him having another TD or much production.
TE: Best Plays
Jimmy Graham ($8,000)- Simply unstoppable if Brees makes a concerned effort to get him the ball.  I will always consider Graham a viable option if you want to spend the big bucks on your TE.
Greg Olsen (FP) ($5,600)- Still the #1 receiving target for Cam and trusted red zone target.  The Steelers just let the Ravens put up two TE TD's on them Thursday night too.
Martellus Bennett ($5,200)- The Jets defense got torn up last week when Rodgers got in his groove.  Bennett has scored in both games and Cutler loves to look for him any down he is throwing.
Larry Donnell (FP) ($4,900)- Eli has really little to throw to until Odell Beckham Jr. suits up which probably wont be this week.  Donnell has led the team in receptions and yards both games so far.  Eli and Donnell have some good chemistry early on, look for him to rely on him running the seams when the Texans blitz.
TE: Worst Plays
Antonio Gates ($6,100)- Gates showed why he was once the best TE in the game but you cannot expect that kind of production week in and week out.  I like other options at $6,000 this week who know they will get targets regardless.
Rob Gronkowski ($5,900)- More than likely the Pats will run the ball down the Raiders throat and when they are in control of the game they will sit Gronk like last game.  Unless he gets the first 2 TD's here I dont like the pick.
Delanie Walker ($5,700)- I put Delanie in Best plays last week and just like that hes in Worst plays.  I dont believe he will have a bigger game then that all season, and defiantly against a stout Bengals Defense at home.
D/ST: Best Plays
New England Patriots (FP) ($3,500)- After dominating the Vikings last week the Pats get another favorable match-up against a Raiders team that struggles to put up points.
Houston Texans ($3,400)- Lets face it until the Giants stop turning the ball over and put up points it will probably be a good match-up for the opposing defense. 
Cincinnati Bengals ($3,300)- Bengals looked sharp against the Ravens and Falcons so far and play at home this week against a Titans team who struggled against a Dallas's defense.
 New Orleans Saints ($3,200)- They thought they would have AP back but everybody knew they were not going to.  At home, Rob Ryan will have his guys ready to go against a limited Vikings offense and probably force Cassel to throw the ball just like the Pats did.
Indianapolis Colts ($3,100)- Same reasoning for picking against the Giants, the Jaguars are even worse and cant protect the QB for their lives.
Dallas Cowboys ($2,500)- Cowboys defense?!?! Yes, they have played well so far this year and against a weak Rams offense the odds look good.  The Cowboys have really made a stand for running Murray and controlling the clock which also helps the defense out.

Wednesday, September 17, 2014

FANDUEL STRATEGY WEEK 3 NFL 2014

I will  put a (FP) next to one player in each position for my Favorite pick aka FLIPS PICK based on their value & match-up.
Abbreviations: Cost Per Point(CPP) Flips Pick (FP) Guaranteed prize pool (GPP)
Now lets get it!
QB: Best Plays:
Drew Brees ($9,100)- The Vikings secondary is not good and really would have gotten exposed if the Pats had to put points up.  Brees is 0-2 going home, I would be shocked if he does not go for 300+ yards this Sunday.  
Matthew Stafford (FP) ($9,000)- Just like Brees, Stafford is much more comfortable at home.  This game with the Packers should be high scoring.  Another plus is that Bush + Bell get a lot of their work in the screen game padding Stafford's passing yards.  FYI I love Rodgers this week too but since he cost $800 more, I would take Stafford as they should have similar performances.
QB: Worst Plays:
Colin Kaepernick ($8,500)- Not sure what happened to Kaepernick last game but he blew it.  Now facing a much better overall Cardinals defense at home im not sure what to expect.  I would avoid Kap at this price point.
Tony Romo ($7,600)- Dallas game plan is now: Run Murray, Run Murray, Run Murray, throw to Dez on 3rd down and distance.  The Cowboys have found success so why mess with it, Romo isnt getting as many chances to put up big fantasy numbers this year.
RB: Best Plays
DeMarco Murray (FP) ($8,700)- Murray has been the workhorse this season in a run 1st Cowboy offense.  The Rams just let Bobby Rainey have big game and I see a better offense in Dallas.
Giovani Bernard ($8,500)- Giovani went off last week and could have had two TD's if Jeremy Hill didn't get that goal line touch.  He carried the ball 27 times and had 5 catches.  They will probaly run the ball all over the Titans who just let Murray have a field day.
Andre Ellington (FP) ($6,700)- Jonathan Dwyer just was arrested for domestic violence so even if that is 100% false there is no chance he will play the way things have been going for the NFL the past 2 weeks.  Ellington will have to strap on his big boy pants because he will get 20+ carries this week instead of 15 with dwyer stealing about 8 a game.  He is a speedster and has big play potential anytime he touches the ball.
Rashad Jennings ($6,400)- You can guarantee Jennings will get a heavy amount of carries and looks in the passing game.  He is the Giants workhorse and has played well despite his team not helping out to much.
Pierre Thomas ($6,300) + Khiry Robinson ($4,700)- With Mark Ingram out for at least a month both Thomas and Robinson will have a increased workload.  Look for big games from these guys going against a Vikings team who let the Pats run all over them.  Robinson should get the goal line carries, also if the Saints get up big Robinson should be the one running the game out.
RB: Worst Plays
Eddie Lacy ($8,200)- Lacy has faced two of the best defenses so far and now he gets to play another great run defense.  The Lions have done well in stopping the run this year.  This game is likely to be a shootout meaning Rodgers will be airing it out.
C.J. Spiller ($7,900)- Only 14.3 and 13.9 points so far this season.  There are much better options for this price, especially since he splits carries with Fred Jackson.
Frank Gore ($7,700)- The Cardinals at home are a tough team, and at this price point I would avoid Gore even though he has played solid so far.
Reggie Bush ($7,300)- Joique Bell is just to much baggage to take Bush for these high of prices.  Even against a mediocre Packers defense I advise you to avoid Bush.
WR: Best Plays
Calvin Johnson (FP) ($9,000)- Megatron at home against a Packers defense who has let up a lot of points this year sounds good to me.  He will bounce back big after getting contained by the Panthers last week.
Jordy Nelson ($8,600)- Cam Newton threw for a lot of yards last week against the Lions defense and the Packers have more firepower then the Panthers.  Just because Jordy had a huge game doesn't mean he wont have another one.
Antonio Brown ($8,200)- Maybe the fastest WR in the game right now seems to be Big Ben's go too, like he should be.  If he didn't get taken out last week early against the Ravens I think that game would have been a lot different.  The Steelers will most likely have to outscore Carolina by throwing the ball to win because their defense is going allow points.
Cordarrelle Patterson ($6,900)- Hit or miss at its best, Cordarrelle Patterson.  Look if this guy gets in the open field he is gone no doubt.  If you take Patterson make sure you don't pick the Saints defense in GPP contests.
Victor Cruz ($6,600)- Cruz is bound to have a good game soon enough right??? Still the most targeted receiver for the Giants should look to have a 100+ yard game this Sunday.
Marques Colston ($5,600)- After being shadowed by Joe Haden last week Brees should look to tear up that Vikings secondary.  Just hope that its Colston getting the looks, a cheap buy this week with huge upside.
Golden Tate ($5,000)- Tate doesn't have a TD yet this season but has had good production with a solid amount of targets.  For $5,000 I don't think you can pass up on him this week in what should be a high scoring game against the Packers.
WR: Worst Plays
A.J. Green ($8,400)- First off I am worried that he could re-injure himself.  Secondly if the Bengals get an early lead on the Titans they will just rest Green the rest of the game.  Your playing with fire this week if you go with Green.
Steve Smith ($6,200)- Joe Haden will be all over Smith who has had an impressive start this season and is clearly Flaccos favorite target.
TE: Best Plays
Jimmy Graham ($8,400)- Simply unstoppable if Brees makes a concerned effort to get him the ball.  I will always consider Graham a viable option if you want to spend the big bucks on your TE.
Greg Olsen (FP) ($6,100)- Still the #1 receiving target for Cam and trusted red zone target.  The Steelers just let the Ravens put up two TE TD's on them Thursday night too.
Martellus Bennett ($6,000)- The Jets defense got torn up last week when Rodgers got in his groove.  Bennett has scored in both games and Cutler loves to look for him any down he is throwing.
Niles Paul ($5,000)- Paul has really been impressive stepping in for Jordan Reed out with a hamstring injury.  Cousins threw him the ball a lot against the Jaguars and even set him up out wide solo in the red zone which went for a TD.  The Redskins and Cousins both have faith in Paul.
Larry Donnell (FP) ($4,900)- Eli has really little to throw to until Odell Beckham Jr. suits up which probably wont be this week.  Donnell has led the team in receptions and yards both games so far.  Eli and Donnell have some good chemistry early on, look for him to rely on him running the seams when the Texans blitz.
TE: Worst Plays
Rob Gronkowski ($7,700)- More than likely the Pats will run the ball down the Raiders throat and when they are in control of the game they will sit Gronk like last game.  Unless he gets the first 2 TD's here I dont like the pick.
Antonio Gates ($6,000)- Gates showed why he was once the best TE in the game but you cannot expect that kind of production week in and week out.  I like other options at $6,000 this week who know they will get targets regardless.
Delanie Walker ($5,900)- I put Delanie in Best plays last week and just like that hes in Worst plays.  I dont believe he will have a bigger game then that all season, and defiantly against a stout Bengals Defense at home.
K: This position is so up in the air, its all up to you!
D/ST: Best Plays
New England Patriots (FP) ($5,400)- After dominating the Vikings last week the Pats get another favorable match-up against a Raiders team that struggles to put up points.
Cincinnati Bengals ($5,300)- Bengals looked sharp against the Ravens and Falcons so far and play at home this week against a Titans team who struggled against a Dallas's defense.
Houston Texans ($5,200)- Lets face it until the Giants stop turning the ball over and put up points it will probably be a good match-up for the opposing defense.  
Indianapolis Colts ($5,100)- Same reasoning for picking against the Giants, the Jaguars are even worse and cant protect the QB for their lives.
Dallas Cowboys ($4,800)- Cowboys defense?!?! Yes, they have played well so far this year and against a weak Rams offense the odds look good.  The Cowboys have really made a stand for running Murray and controlling the clock which also helps the defense out.
New Orleans Saints ($4,500)- They thought they would have AP back but everybody knew they were not going to.  At home, Rob Ryan will have his guys ready to go against a limited Vikings offense and probably force Cassel to throw the ball just like the Pats did.

Saturday, September 13, 2014

FANDUEL STRATEGY WEEK 2 NFL 2014

This post is specifically for FANDUEL WEEK 2 NFL.
I will  put a (FP) next to one player in each position for my Favorite pick aka FLIPS PICK based on their value & match-up.
Now lets get it.   Abbreviations: Cost Per Point(CPP) Flips Pick (FP)

*****CARSON PALMER IS OUT DO NOT START
QB: Best Plays
Andrew Luck ($9,200)- This game with the Eagles is going to be fast and high scoring.  The Colts will most likely abandon the run game again like they did week 1 when they realize they have Trent Richardson.  Look for Luck to put up big numbers under the lights this Monday night at home.
Andy Dalton ($7,800)- After seeing how fast Matty Ice can score and how many points Brees put up week 1 this looks like it will be a shoot out.  Dalton should have a big game airing it out to A.J. and how involved Giovani Bernard is in the pass game.  For $7,800 you've got to like your odds with this match-up.
QB: Worst Plays:
Matthew Stafford (9,300)- While he is a fantasy beast I would avoid him this week at such a high price.  Hes going against a elite Panthers defense at home who will be hungry with their starting QB back in the line-up.  If you want to spend big on a QB this week go for Peyton at $10,200 or save urself $100 and take Andrew Luck.
Jay Cutler ($8,100)- Not a horrible price point for Cutler but going against a San Fran Defense looking like they are trying to prove themselves as a top D with a number of missing pieces.  The 49’ers will be hype playing in a new stadium including the fans, it will be very loud.  Cutler’s arm and brain aren’t always on the same page and that’s why i stay away from him here, go for Foles at $8,300 or Dalton at $7,800 if this is your QB price range.
RB: Best Plays
Arian Foster (FP) ($8,300)- Hes back and just trying to be the best teammate he can be ( https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T6weWPXuJhs ).  Arian has one of if not the best match-up this week going against a Raiders defense who let the Jets run all over them.  You dont need to worry about another RB stealing those goal line touches either here, Arian carried 27 times week 1.  He should get some good opportunities to take a screen play to the house.  With his past history at Oakland you got to feel confident with this pick.
Alfred Morris ($7,200)- The Redskins will look to establish the run game here against the Jaguars.  Morris still put up 91 yards against a Texans D that dominated the game.  The way things look he should go for 100+ and a TD this week.
Terrance West ($5,300)- West is named the starter this week against the Saints and is likely to get 20+ carries.  With their TE Jordan Cameron doubtful to play West should be the workhorse.  The Saints D wasn't impressive week one either.
RB: Worst Plays
Jamaal Charles (9,100)- After getting embarrassed by the Titans I do not have faith in the Chiefs offense to put up numbers against a even better defense in Denver.  Peyton will control the game leaving the Chiefs trying to play catch-up by airing it out.  If you are considering Charles please don’t, go with LeSean McCoy for $100 extra who is a guarantee to put up numbers this week.
Reggie Bush ($7,800)- I’m not confident in Bush ever, even more so against the Panthers.  Stay away from him here for $6,800 there are better options like Montee Ball at $8,100.
C.J. Spiller ($7,500)- Had a pretty solid game against the Bears but with a split RB committee, its to much of a risk to take him.  He also is deferred to Fred Jackson around the goal-line.
WR: Best Plays
Demaryius Thomas (FP) ($8,700)- Lets be real, he will not have another game like that again.  He was targeted most receiver, multiple times in the red zone, and it was clear Julius Thomas had the mismatch that night.  Peyton likes to keep his WR’s happy and against the Chiefs Demaryius should be smiling after the game.
Jordy Nelson ($7,900)- Arron Rodgers and Jordys timing is some of the best in the league.  Just because he didn't get in the endzone against the best defense in the league doesn't mean he wont against the Jets.
Andre Johnson ($7,100)- People forget about how good this guy is.  Against a weak Raiders defense look for Andre to get some big plays with a capable QB Fitzpatrick who likes to look for him.
Michael Floyd ($6,600)- After a big week 1 im suprsied that Floyd is still this cheap.  You got to like his big play ability with a QB who airs it out.  Not saying Floyd is Megatron but the Giants defense is bad enough to make Floyd look like him this week.
Jeremy Maclin ($6,300)- As I said before this game against the Colts will have a lot of points.  Maclin proved himself week 1 and I feel that touchdown gave him the confidence he was looking for after coming off a ACL injury.  Foles and him have great chemistry and he should get at least 10 balls thrown his way Monday.
Reggie Wayne ($6,200)- The most targeted receiver for the Colts and Lucks safety net Reggie should have a huge game.  It will be a shootout between the Colts and Eagles Monday night and the Colts will give up on the run game and air it out.  I’m expecting at least 100 yards and 10 catches, hopefully a TD too.  I mean come on...T.Y. Hilton is $200 more than Wayne.
Andrew Hawkins ($5,200)- Brian Hoyers favorite target...or mabye more along the lines of his ONLY target.  He is Hoyers go to guy and likely without Jordan Cameron he should just as many or even more looks then he did last week.
WR: Worst Plays
Vincent Jackson ($7,300)- I do like Jacksons match-up this week but he is way overpriced to take him this week.  There are much better options including Emmanuel Sanders who looked amazing week 1.
Cordarrelle Patterson ($7,100)- Had a huge performance last week due to his big play, but that’s what your getting with Patterson…a shot a huge play.  For $7,100 this week ill pass as there are much better options.  Now that AP is out Sunday Bill Belichick will most likely blanket Patterson.
TE: Best Plays
Greg Olsen (FP) ($6,400)- Olsen is Cams only returning target from last year and look for him to rely on him this week.  Cam should be on top of his game and looking for him all day long especially in the red zone.
Zach Ertz ($5,600)- A big red zone target and a great runner straight up the middle seam.  Foles loves him some Big Country (Ertz Nickname) and he will have his opportunities Monday in a fast paced game against the Colts.  Also Julius Thomas just put up 3 TD against the Colts to make Ertz more attractive.
Delanie Walker ($5,000)- If your tight on $ and you need a TE Walker is a good choice here.  Targeted multiple times in the red zone last week and going against the Cowboys who also let up multiple TD to the opposing TE last week this is a great value pick.
TE: Worst Plays
Julius Thomas ($8,100)- After a performance like that you would expect him to be the highest salary TE and he is.  Do not put $8,100 into Thomas, and if you MUST spend big on ur TE then put it in Jimmy Graham at $8,000 the best TE in the game.  Peyton will spread the ball and he wont get that kind of production this week.
Vernon Davis ($6800)- Another multi TD TE from last week overpriced.  Kap will spread the ball more and look for his bread n butter Crabtree at full strength more.  Davis is TD dependent as he doesn’t get a high volume of targets and I just don’t see it this week.
K: Best Plays (I will only do "Best Plays" for Kickers)

Steven Hauschka (FP) ($5,300)- The Seahawks offense looks better than last years and Hauschka is one of the best in the business.  He should get plenty of attempts against a weak Chargers defense and the Seahawks defense controlling the field position game.

Mike Nugent ($5,200)- Another great kicker, and this game looks to be a shootout.  Nugent should get some good FG attempts with an offense that can defiantly move the ball against the Falcons.
Cody Parkey ($4,900)- The rookie looked solid in his 1st game at home.  Now traveling to the Colts indoor facility he shouldn't have any problem knocking them in there either.  In a high scoring game with an Eagles offense that can move the chains Parkey can have a big game.
D/ST: Best Plays
Texans ($5,400)- JJ Watt a one man wrecking crew should cause all kinds problems for the Raiders who don’t seem promising to have a big day.  Also Derek Carr will be baptized a few times by Watt Sunday.
Cardinals ($5,300)- You gotta like your odds with the Cardinals defense playing solid against Phillip Rivers and a solid Chargers offense.  They will play the Giants who did not seem impressive against the Lions, also Eli is pick happy right now.
Patriots ($5,100)- All of a sudden the Patriots defense looks great this week.  Going up against a Vikings team with no AP they should be able to contain the big plays without a RB threat.
Buccaneers (FP) ($4,900)- Bucc’s at home against a awful Rams offense, you got to love this match-up. Solid pick here to not allow a lot of points and hopefully cause some turnovers.
Redskins ($4,500)- Sleeper alert!  You got to have some kahunas to make this pick but after a decent performance against the Texans this could be the best value play of the D/ST.  Even with their offenses multiple turnovers the Redskins D hung in there and should be ready at home against a bad and injured Jags offense.
D/ST: Worst Plays
Vikings ($5,300)- I don’t recommend taking any defense other than the others i listed because the price difference is so small.  I wanted to note not to take the Vikings off a good performance against a really really bad Rams offense.  They will face the Patriots who will put up points.
If you have any questions, comments, or concerns please let me know!
Post a comment here or at Twitter.com/TheFantasyFlip
Thanks & Good Luck,
TheFantasyFlip

DRAFTKINGS STRATEGY WEEK 2 NFL 2014

This post is specifically for DRAFTKINGS WEEK 2 NFL.
I am not one to write paragraphs for each player I analyze, I like to keep things short and to the point!  I will also put a (FP) next to one player in each position for my Favorite pick aka FLIPS PICKbased on their value & match-up.
Now lets get it.   Abbreviations: Cost Per Point(CPP) Flips Pick (FP)
QB: Best Plays
Peyton Manning ($8,800)- For how good and efficient Peyton is you should have no problem spending $8,800 for him this week.  His CPP is among the best this week and playing a demoralized Chiefs defense he should tear them apart.  If QB is where you want to spend the big bucks this week, Peytons your play.
Tom Brady (FP) ($7,000)- Dont overreact to Tom Bradys performance week 1 against a Miami Defense that always gives Brady trouble.  Luckily Draftkings did overreact and that is why hes dirt cheap at $7,000.  He should take his anger out on a lousy Vikings D that only looked dominate against a pedestrian Rams offense.
Brian Hoyer & Ryan Fitzpatrick ($5,000)- With both of these guys at a QB salary cap minimum of $5,000 you can take a chance on either of them to have a big game.  Hoyer and Fitzpatrick have a great CPP this week.  They play within the offense and have favorable matchups this week, Fitzpatrick going against a weak Raiders D and Hoyer at home going against a Saints defense who got Matty Ice’ddddddddd Sunday.
QB: Worst Plays:
Matthew Stafford (8,300)- While he is a fantasy beast I would avoid him this week at such a high price.  Hes going against a elite Panthers defense at home who will be hungry with their starting QB back in the line-up.  Your better off spending that extra $500 and grabbing a sure thing in Peyton if your contemplating Stafford.
Jay Cutler ($7,700)- Not a horrible price point for Cutler but going against a San Fran Defense looking like they are trying to prove themselves as a top D with a number of missing pieces.  The 49’ers will be hype playing in a new stadium including the fans, it will be very loud.  Cutler’s arm and brain aren’t always on the same page and that’s why i stay away from him here, grab Brady at $7,00 if your thinking Cutler.
RB: Best Plays
Arian Foster ($7,000)- Hes back and just trying to be the best teammate he can be ( https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T6weWPXuJhs ).  Arian has one of if not the best match-up this week going against a Raiders defense who let the Jets run all over them.  You dont need to worry about another RB stealing those goal line touches either here, Arian carried 27 times week 1.  He should get some good opportunities to take a screen play to the house.  With his past history at Oakland you got to feel confident with this pick.
Giovani Bernard (FP) ($6,300)- After a disappointing week 1 performance against a strong ravens defense Gio’s price dropped.  After seeing the Steelers struggle against the Ravens D also you gotta feel confident that he will have a breakout game against a Falcons D that gave up huge yardage to the Saints.  He is the #1 RB no question, he got 57 snaps compared to Jeremy Hill’s 10.  He ran 14 times, he got all the goal line touches, he caught 6-10 passes thrown his way…no need to explain this pick anymore especially in a PPR format.
Alfred Morris ($5,200)- The Redskins will look to establish the run game here against the Jaguars.  Morris still put up 91 yards against a Texans D that dominated the game.  The way things look he should go for 100+ and a TD this week.
RB: Worst Plays
Jamaal Charles (7,400)- After getting embarrassed by the Titans I do not have faith in the Chiefs offense to put up numbers against a even better defense in Denver.  Peyton will control the game leaving the Chiefs trying to play catch-up.  If you are considering Charles please don’t, go with Montee Ball who costs $6,800 or Arian Foster at $7,000.
Reggie Bush ($6,000)- I’m not confident in Bush ever, even more so against the Panthers.  Stay away from him here for $6,000 there are better options.
C.J. Spiller ($6,000)- Had a pretty solid game against the Bears but with a split RB committee, its to much of a risk to take him.  He also is deferred to Fred Jackson around the goal-line.
WR: Best Plays
Demaryius Thomas (FP) ($7,000)- Lets be real, he will not have another game like that again.  He was targeted most receiver, multiple times in the red zone, and it was clear Julius Thomas had the mismatch.  Since his low score week 1 Draftkings left us a gem, the 7th highest salary for a WR you MUST take him.  Peyton likes to keep his WR’s happy and against the Chiefs Demaryius should be smiling after the game.
Reggie Wayne (FP) ($5,300)- The most targeted receiver for the Colts and Lucks safety net Reggie should have a huge game.  It will be a shootout between the Colts and Eagles Monday night and the Colts will give up on the run game and air it out.  I’m expecting at least 100 yards and 10 catches, hopefully a TD too.
DeSean Jackson ($5,300)- Jackson was 2nd highest on RG III target list which is expected.  For Jackson to get 8 catches against a JJ Watt who was causing all kinds of disruption in the pocket is amazing.  He will have a huge game against a poor Jaguars D.  I see Jackson high-stepping into the end-zone on a long play this week.
Vincent Jackson ($5,000) & Mike Evans ($4,000)- Vincent Jackson for 5k!?!? You have to be drooling especially against the Rams team who just lost their best DE and got whooped by the Vikings.  Josh Mcown is a capable QB and targeted each of these guys 9 times.  Vincent Jackson’s track record speaks for itself and Mike Evans looks like the top rookie WR along with Kelvin Benjamin & Brandin Cooks.
WR: Worst Plays
Cordarrelle Patterson ($6,300)- Had a huge performance last week due to his big play, but that’s what your getting with Patterson…a shot a huge play.  For $6,300 this week ill pass as there are much better options in a PPR format as he only had 3 catches week 1.  Now that AP is out Sunday Bill Belichick will most likely blanket Patterson.
Mike Wallace ($6,100)- I would shy away from anything to do with Miamis offense.  The bills held the Bears which has a much better offense to 20 points.  For $6,100 you really must like Wallace, much better option in Emmanuel Sanders or Michael Floyd at $6,000.
TE: Best Plays
Rob Gronkowski (FP) ($6,000)- Brady targeted the beast 11 times week 1.  Brady will be able to breathe in the pocket against the Vikings and actually get set to throw to Gronk.  For $6,000 he is one of the best TE plays no doubt, he wont be that cheap often.
Jordan Cameron ($3,800)- This guy is a stud…only problem is hes questionable to play with a re-injured shoulder.  With Josh Gordon still doubtful to play Sunday Hoyer will rely on on Cameron.  Your gonna have to wait till Sunday morning to make this pick with confidence.  They do have the 1pm EST game so you will be able to change your lineup with confidence once the starters are named.
TE: Worst Plays
Julius Thomas ($7,100)- After a performance like that you would expect him to be the highest salary TE and he is.  Do not put $7,100 into Thomas, and if you MUST spend big on ur TE then put it in Jimmy Graham at $7,000 the best TE in the game.  Peyton will spread the ball and he wont get that production this week.
Vernon Davis ($5,700)- Another multi TD TE from last week overpriced.  Kap will spread the ball more and look for his bread n butter Crabtree at full strength more.  Davis is TD dependent as he doesn’t get a high volume of targets and I just don’t see it this week.
D/ST: Best Plays
Texans ($3,500)- JJ Watt a one man wrecking crew should cause all kinds problems for the Raiders who don’t seem promising to have a big day.  Also Derek Carr will be baptized a few times by Watt sunday
Cardinals ($3,300)- You gotta like your odds with the Cardinals defense playing solid against Phillip Rivers and a solid Chargers offense.  They will play the Giants who did not seem impressive against the Lions, also Eli is pick happy right now.
Buccaneers (FP) ($3,200)- Bucc’s at home against a awful Rams offense, you got to love this match-up.  Solid pick here to not allow a lot of points and hopefully cause some turnovers.
Patriots ($3,200)- All of a sudden the Patriots defense looks great this week.  Going up against a Vikings team with no AP they should be able to contain the big plays without a RB threat.
D/ST: Worst Plays
Vikings ($2,700)- I don’t recommend taking any defense other than the 3 i listed because the price difference is so small.  I wanted to note not to take the Vikings off a good performance against a really really bad Rams offense.  They will face the Patriots who will put up points.
I did not include a Flex spot but i recommend avoiding double TE, your best off with a high volume WR or RB.  If you have any questions, comments, or concerns please let me know!
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Thanks & Good Luck,
TheFantasyFlip